[address-policy-wg] 2017-03 New Policy Proposal (Reducing Initial IPv4 Allocation, aiming to preserve a minimum of IPv4 space)

Rene,

Much appreciated!

The projected dates you mentioned are very useful!

Best Regards,
Carlos Friaças


On Tue, 26 Sep 2017, Rene Wilhelm wrote:

> Hi Carlos, All,
>
>
> On 9/23/17 1:02 AM, Carlos Friaças wrote:
>> [...]
>>> do we know how many LIRs eligible under the current policy have not
>>> yet asked for a final /22?
>>> 
>>> -Peter
>> 
>> 
>> Thanks for that question!
>> 
>> 
>> Looking at the alloclist from today, and filtering for RegIDs, i can count: 
>> 16354
>> (hmmm... # on https://labs.ripe.net/statistics is 16825, seems i'm mising 
>> something...)
>> 
>> But anyway... the number of IPv4 /22s is 15391. From that number:
>> 195 in Sept/2012 after the runout date.
>> 595 in Q4/2012 (runout was in september)
>> 1854 in 2013
>> 2441 in 2014
>> 3178 in 2015
>> 3258 in 2016
>> 2429 in 2017, so far.
>> 
>> So, 13950 /22s between Q4/2012 and today, hence i would say your answer is 
>> around 2404 LIRs (16354-13950).
>> 
>> 
>> ps: Someone at the NCC might have looked deeply into this, or not. :-)
>
> We last looked at this in detail at the start of the year, when we
> reached the 15000 LIRs milestone.See the RIPElabs article at
> https://labs.ripe.net/Members/wilhelm/15-000-local-internet-registries
>
> Redoing that analysis today, I find 4075 LIRs which do not have a
> final /22 allocation.3598 of these were established before 14 Sep 2012.
>
> The average allocation rate in the last 1.5 years was 9.1 /22s per day.
> At this rate the original last /8 (185/8) will be fully allocated in
> about 9 months, in June 2018.The rest of the currently available
> IPv4 space would last until January 2021. Occasional reclaims and
> deregistrations of IPv4 space of the size we've seen in the recent past
> could postpone full runout with a few more months, until July 2021.
>
> Best regards,
>
> -- Rene
>