[address-policy-wg] 2017-03 New Policy Proposal (Reducing Initial IPv4 Allocation, aiming to preserve a minimum of IPv4 space)

Hi Carlos, All,


On 9/23/17 1:02 AM, Carlos Friaças wrote:
> [...]
>> do we know how many LIRs eligible under the current policy have not
>> yet asked for a final /22?
>>
>> -Peter
>
>
> Thanks for that question!
>
>
> Looking at the alloclist from today, and filtering for RegIDs, i can 
> count: 16354
> (hmmm... # on https://labs.ripe.net/statistics is 16825, seems i'm 
> mising something...)
>
> But anyway... the number of IPv4 /22s is 15391. From that number:
> 195 in Sept/2012 after the runout date.
> 595 in Q4/2012 (runout was in september)
> 1854 in 2013
> 2441 in 2014
> 3178 in 2015
> 3258 in 2016
> 2429 in 2017, so far.
>
> So, 13950 /22s between Q4/2012 and today, hence i would say your 
> answer is around 2404 LIRs (16354-13950).
>
>
> ps: Someone at the NCC might have looked deeply into this, or not. :-)

We last looked at this in detail at the start of the year, when we
reached the 15000 LIRs milestone.See the RIPElabs article at
https://labs.ripe.net/Members/wilhelm/15-000-local-internet-registries

Redoing that analysis today, I find 4075 LIRs which do not have a
final /22 allocation.3598 of these were established before 14 Sep 2012.

The average allocation rate in the last 1.5 years was 9.1 /22s per day.
At this rate the original last /8 (185/8) will be fully allocated in
about 9 months, in June 2018.The rest of the currently available
IPv4 space would last until January 2021. Occasional reclaims and
deregistrations of IPv4 space of the size we've seen in the recent past
could postpone full runout with a few more months, until July 2021.

Best regards,

-- Rene