[routing-wg] [mat-wg] RIPE Labs post: Does The Internet Route Around Damage?

Hi Simon,

Thanks for your suggestions for further research. More inline :)

On 2023-11-29 17:26, Simon Leinen wrote:
>> We analysed last week's AMS-IX outage from the perspective of RIPE
>> Atlas, to shed some light on the question if the Internet routes
>> around damage.
>> Our analysis is here:
>> https://labs.ripe.net/author/emileaben/does-the-internet-route-around-damage-edition-2023/
> Great analysis, thanks! A few questions/observations/suggestions for
> further analysis by aspiring routing researchers...
>
> On IXP-less backup paths:
>
> "The main alternative in our data are paths without IXP. This could be
> a direct lateral peering that is not IXP-mediated, or using transit
> instead of the IXP."
>
> Would it be possible to distinguish between those cases? Maybe by
> looking at any additional ASes that show up in the new paths, and trying
> to detect provider/customer relationships using some known approach.

Yes, I'm curious about that too.
For ease of analysis I don't do AS lookups (just IXP LAN lookups) for 
this type of use-case so analyses take significantly less time to run. 
Adding AS-lookups would open up the type of analysis you mention.

> Intuitively the second case seems more "normal", because if you had a
> direct peering (PNI), then why would you have preferred AMS-IX in the
> first place? But of course it's possible that those non-IXP-mediated
> peerings are over slower links or otherwise inferior.

Thanks for that intuition, that helps trying to understand this esp. for 
individuals like me who don't configure BGP interdomain routing every day.

>
> On the belated NL-IX rerouting:
>
> This indeed looks like an intentional change of routing preferences;
> looking at the steep/vertical increases, probably done by a single or a
> few large providers. Now I'm of course very curious who did this (and
> was able to shift about 15% of all Atlas traceroutes around :-).

Or it is an issue of the bias of the probes and destinations that I used 
for this analysis. This is an issue I'm currently looking into.

Happy to share more details about the analysis.

kind regards,
Emile Aben
RIPE NCC