[lir-wg] Discussion about RIPE-261

Hank Nussbacher said:
>>> Needless to say, your numbers do not seem to take in any
>>> socio-economic factors.

> So don't assign wealth.  Use some number that has direct influence on IPv6 
> usage.  Among the possibilities:
> - # of computer per capita
[...]

IPv6 is supposed to last for what, 20 years? 30 years? 40 years? None of
these assumptions is going to be valid in this timescale because you have
no idea where the economies of countries are going to go. After all, in
1985 none of us would have assumed either the Soviet Union or China would
have wanted any IP addresses at all. And people wouldn't even have heard of
Kazakhstan.

Either population or land area is about the best indicator you're going to
get of *eventual* *long-term* demand.

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