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Hi Elvis,<br>
<br>
<div class="moz-cite-prefix">Am 22.01.2015 um 13:04 schrieb Elvis
Daniel Velea:<br>
</div>
<blockquote cite="mid:54C0E73D.3060801@v4escrow.net" type="cite">[...]<br>
<blockquote cite="mid:54C0E13F.9090909@sct.de" type="cite">The
proposed policy change will speed up the shortage of IPv4 space;
and therefore I still strongly oppose this proposal. <br>
</blockquote>
I do not think there will be any difference in how much IPv4 will
be requested/allocated from the last /8 if the policy changes. I
could easily just use the LIR Portal 3-click request and get an
IPv6 allocation if it's one of the steps in requesting the IPv4
allocation. It does not mean that I will actually use it or do
anything with it. It's just a step in the process of me getting
the /22 I wanted.<br>
</blockquote>
<br>
The current policy actually had a positive effect on our company.
The main reason for us to sign up as an LIR was to get more IPv4
addresses; and since we had to request an IPv6 allocation we wanted
to have this set up and running. If it had been possible to get that
/22 without an IPv6 address space we would probably still be using
IPv4 only (the IPv4 address space we currently have is large enough
for our business for the foreseeable future).<br>
<br>
Since this policy had a positive effect on IPv6 awareness for us I
simply deduce that it should have a positive effect for some other
companies as well. However, that's not just a guess, there is also
statistical data regarding this:<br>
<br>
Andrea Cima from RIPE NCC wrote on 11 December 2014:<br>
<blockquote type="cite">The RIPE NCC has started allocating /22s
from the last /8 on 14 September 2012. Since then 4190 IPv6
allocations have been made, out of which 1160 are currently
visible in the BGP routing tables.
<br>
<br>
If we take into consideration the total number of IPv6 allocations
made by the RIPE NCC, 8398 IPv6 allocations have been made, out of
which 4098 are currently visible in the BGP routing tables.
<br>
</blockquote>
<br>
That means that more than 27% of those IPv6 allocations are really
used; and that's a quite impressive figure. And I think we can
conclude that the current policy does have a positive effect on IPv6
deployment. In comparison about 49% of all IPv6 allocations are
visible in the BGP routing table; and that makes that 27% even more
impressive.<br>
<br>
<blockquote cite="mid:54C0E73D.3060801@v4escrow.net" type="cite">
<blockquote cite="mid:54C0E13F.9090909@sct.de" type="cite"> <br>
By the way, this proposal would increase prices on the IPv4
transfer market (due to it speeding up the shortening of the
free IPv4 address space); and that is generally nothing that's
good for the community, either. <br>
<br>
</blockquote>
I doubt it will have any effect. The RIPE NCC still has more than
a /8 in /22s (18.55 mil IP addresses) [1] and can allocate the
/22s for at least 5-10 years (my personal opinion is that it will
never stop allocating the /22s).<br>
</blockquote>
<br>
Any increase in IPv6 awareness is good for lessening the demand for
IPv4 addresses. In any free market prices are subject to "supply and
demand"; anything that reduces supply or increases demand will make
prices go up.<br>
<br>
I agree with you that the RIPE NCC will not run out of IPv4 address
space during the next few years. Given the amount of 18.55 mil IP
addresses this is enough for about 18.000 new /22 allocations. Given
the data Andrea Cima from RIPE NCC posted on December 11th on this
list 4190 IPv6 allocation have been made between 14 September 2012
(the date when the RIPE NCC has started allocation /22s from the
last /8) until 11 December 2014 we could estimate that that address
space will be sufficient for the next 9-10 years; and even if we
take into account that the number of new LIRs will increase in the
future I still think that your 5-10 year range is a reasonable
estimate.<br>
<br>
Presumably you agree with me that increasing the IPv6 awareness will
help reducing the demand for IPv4 addresses; my personal opinion is
that prices for IPv4 addresses on the transfer market will still go
up during the next years due to the increasing shortage of available
IPv4 address space; however, if we are successful as a community in
convincing new and existing LIRs to deploy IPv6 that increase will
be lower.<br>
<br>
I think that forcing anyone who wants to get address space from the
last IPv4 to get an IPv6 allocation first won't do any harm to
anyone; even if a LIR does not want to deploy IPv6 now they can
simply put that allocation on a shelf and deploy it later. And the
impressive statistics from the RIPE NCC show that the current policy
text helps IPv6 deployment.<br>
<br>
Kind Regards,<br>
Stefan<br>
<br>
<blockquote cite="mid:54C0E73D.3060801@v4escrow.net" type="cite"> <br>
Regards,<br>
Elvis<br>
<br>
[1]
<a moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.ripe.net/internet-coordination/ipv4-exhaustion/ipv4-available-pool-graph">https://www.ripe.net/internet-coordination/ipv4-exhaustion/ipv4-available-pool-graph</a><br>
<br>
<blockquote cite="mid:54C0E13F.9090909@sct.de" type="cite">Kind
Regards, <br>
<br>
Stefan Schiele <br>
<br>
Am 22.01.2015 um 11:55 schrieb Gert Doering: <br>
<blockquote type="cite">Hi, <br>
<br>
On Wed, Jan 21, 2015 at 11:09:50AM +0000, Daniel Davis wrote:
<br>
<blockquote type="cite">Our comment on thIs proposal is: <br>
We would not support this proposal to Remove the IPv6
Requirement for Receiving Space from the Final /8. <br>
This is because his policy encourages ripe members to start
the process of using ipv6 addresses, and that given the
shortage of ipv4 space migration is becoming increasingly
important. <br>
By changing this policy we believe this will give out the
wrong signals to the industry about ipv6 migration. <br>
</blockquote>
This argument has been brought up before, and I consider it
addressed <br>
(by asking the RIPE NCC to send very clear signals regarding
IPv6 <br>
encouragements to future applicants, and also increasing their
general <br>
IPv6 outreach). <br>
<br>
Last Call is there to bring up arguments opposing the proposal
that have <br>
not been voiced and answered before - like, some completely
new angle <br>
hat has been overlooked. <br>
<br>
As always, consensus does not have to be unanimous if there is
sufficiently <br>
strong support. <br>
<br>
Gert Doering <br>
�������� -- APWG chair <br>
</blockquote>
<br>
<br>
</blockquote>
<br>
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